Late summer in Austin is truly an experience like none other. The population of the city swells as tens of thousands of college students return for another semester at one of the largest city campuses in the nation. With the students comes the bottlenecked traffic on the city’s under-built roads, the obnoxious coverage of how “extreme” and “awesome” and “awesomely extreme” 6th street partying is, and the incoherent political railings of these youngsters against such dangers as “corporationalism,” “eco-raping business tactics,” and anything non-organic. And have I mentioned the heat? We’ve only topped 100 degrees a couple of times this summer. It’s been unusually cool.
However, all of those unavoidable events are not only tolerable, they’re downright pleasant compared to the one phenomenon that overtakes the city every fall. I’ll gladly suffer the protests of 18 year old co-eds screaming at me as I walk out of the grocery store with a plastic bag instead of a canvas one. There’s only one thing that is truly intolerable about Austin in the fall: the orange-tinted glasses everyone here wears when looking at the UT football program. Like Doug Henning was famous for saying, “It’s the world of illusion” that has cast its spell on the entire town. Let me explain to you how it’s going to be a 7 and 5 season for you.
But first, let me get this off my chest– what is with the hero-worship of Mack Brown? I know that UT’s idolization of head coaches is not a new event. Since time immemorial, Texas fans have been obsessed with how dominating their program was even in the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. If anyone doubts me, let’s jump into the wayback machine and recall how, even in the years of John Mackovic and David McWilliams, when Texas MIGHT have a more wins than loses, the orange-bloods would start their rallying cry of how “This was the year!”
But under Mack Brown this delusional frenzy has reached dizzying heights of absurdity. Ask any Texas fan about their opinions of Mack Brown and you will inevitably draw comparisons to some of the greatest– Bear Bryant, Darrell Royal, Bob Stoops… (Okay they won’t really compare him to Bob Stoops in that way, but seriously, Texas fans, you’re the only ones still in denial about Stoops.) In Austin, Mack Brown is credited as the mastermind of the 2005 national championship that Texas had been waiting decades for. They won’t credit Vince Young (and his ability to perform despite how poorly he was coached). They won’t credit a lucky schedule and the quirks of the BCS ranking system. No– it’s all due to their Lord and Savior, St. Brown. From listening to the exalted acclaim heaped on Brown, it’s a wonder they haven’t constructed memorials to him in the middle of campus showing how he healed the lepers, invented a cure for polio and helped coordinate the underground railroad. (Oh wait. I forgot that Mack’s not a coordinator.)
Texas fans are quick to forget that going into the 2005 championship season, Brown’s job was on the line. When he was originally brought to Texas, he was widely regarded as an excellent recruiter and a mediocre coach. He seemingly couldn’t beat Oklahoma and was perceived as not being able to win the big game. What changed in 2005? Was it his coaching? Was it his staffing? Was it his prowess to motivate his players? No, no and no. It was Vince Young. Vince Young carried that team on his shoulders and took them to the national championship. As Mack Brown said, “We just opened up the play calling and let Vince get the ball in his hands to see what he can make happen.” And after his junior year, Vince left (understandably) for the NFL. It seems Brown’s recruiting and player motivation skills couldn’t keep the star of the team for a repeat performance.
So let me bring you back to reality, Texas fans. You’ll get no more than seven wins this season. And that’s if you’re lucky. I’ll put it to you plain and simple because if I get too complicated, I know the big words will confuse you. Here are your definite wins: Arkansas State, Central Florida, Rice, Kansas State, and Baylor. That’s five wins you can bank on.
As I look at the schedule, I see three clear losses: Oklahoma, Nebraska and Texas A&M. Oklahoma is the premier team in the Big 12 South and probably in the Big 12 overall. They are going to resume their old form and start ringing Texas’ bell. Nebraska may be seen as a surprise loss, and this isn’t just coming from me as a homer, but even in Austin, Callahan’s offense is going to put up points on UT, and Colt McCoy is not going to be able to respond. Finally, Stephen McGee, for reasons I don’t clearly understand, has proven to be an enigma to Texas’ defense. This will prove true again when A&M wins at Kyle Field.
The remaining games are: TCU, Iowa State, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. Who will Texas beat and who will they fall to? I’m not sure. But I do know this: Texas has an innate ability for failing against teams they should beat. Each of these games will be close and two losses will likely result from a deficiency in the kicking game– which shouldn’t be surprising considering that Mack Brown has passed on kickers such as Mason Crosby in lieu of relying on walk-ons. Each of these four teams has the potential to be surprising, and UT will split their games with them. If luck isn’t with you, Texas fans, you may lose 3 out of 4.
7 and 5. That must be depressing.
As an afterthought, let me make one thing clear– I understand what it’s like living in an area that eats, sleeps and drinks football. I grew up in the heart of Husker Nation and could (and still can) tell you the stats of ever prospective recruit that may be entering the program in the upcoming seasons. I know what it means to watch every game, attend every home game and half the road games. I’ve lived in a place where 97% of the population of the town can provide the first and last names of the starting offensive line. Nebraska IS football, much more so than Austin. But the difference is that we could objectively tell you when our program was going to stink. We don’t predict a national championship every year. And we don’t view our coaches as the pinnacles of perfection when in reality they are merely mediocre (Frank Solich, anyone?).
Take off your orange-tinted glasses, UT fans. You’re not winning the national championship this year. You’re not going to win the Big 12 championship this year. You’re not even going to win the Big 12 South. You’re a 7 and 5 team in a semi-weak conference. Reality may hurt, but you’re just making yourselves look stupid by refusing to face it.
-Johnny Crisco